High-tech law High-tech law Высокотехнологичное право 6a84bd2f94fbba14f7870ca1 mhsziv Криминалистика и оперативно-розыскная деятельность Forensic and operational research activities Криминалистика и оперативно-розыскная деятельность PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS IN CRIME INVESTIGATION: METHODOLOGICAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL ASPECTS ПРЕДИКТИВНАЯ АНАЛИТИКА ПРИ РАССЛЕДОВАНИИ ПРЕСТУПЛЕНИЙ: МЕТОДОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ И ТЕХНОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ АСПЕКТЫ Федоров Алексей Роальдович Fedorov Aleksey Roal'dovich

кандидат технических наук;

candidate of technical sciences;

 Федоров Петр Алексеевич Fedorov Petr Alekseevich

кандидат технических наук;

candidate of technical sciences;

 Национальный исследовательский университет «Московский институт электронной техники» Россия Национальный исследовательский университет «Московский институт электронной техники» Russian Federation Национальный исследовательский университет «Московский институт электронной техники» Россия Национальный исследовательский университет «Московский институт электронной техники» Russian Federation 15 12 2025 15 12 2025 6 25 11 2025 12 12 2025 © 2025 Федоров А.Р., Федоров П.А. © 2025 Fedorov A.R., Fedorov P.A. 2025 Федоров Алексей Роальдович, Федоров Петр Алексеевич Fedorov Aleksey Roal'dovich, Fedorov Petr Alekseevich https://esgi-journal.ru/en/nauka/publications/6a84bd2f94fbba14f7870ca1/view

В криминалистике предиктивная аналитика позволяет выявлять закономерности в серии преступлений, прогнозировать место и время следующего преступления, определять профиль преступника, оптимизировать распределение ресурсов правоохранительных органов. Установлено, что преступления сильно сконцентрированы в пространстве и группируются в различных локациях и при этом по крайней мере половина преступлений совершается всего лишь в 5% уличных сегментов города. Причем существует высокая вероятность того, что повторная виктимизация других преступлений произойдет поблизости и в коротком промежутке времени. Для длительных периодов концентрация и локализация преступлений на городском ландшафте также оказывается стабильной.

In criminology, predictive analytics allows you to identify patterns in a series of crimes, predict the location and time of the next crime, and determine the likelihood of a crime occurring. It has been established that crimes are highly concentrated in space and are grouped in various locations, and at least half of the crimes are committed in just 5% of the city's street segments. Moreover, there is a high probability that the re-victimization of other crimes will occur in the vicinity and within a short period of time. For long periods, the concentration and localization of crimes in the urban landscape also remain stable.

 предиктивная аналитика машинное обучение нейронные сети искусственный интеллект place-based and person-based systems predictive analytics machine learning high-tech law neural networks artificial intelligent systems place-based and person-based systems

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